Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 4.147797e-05 0.000049 0.000057 0.000067 0.000077 0.000089 0.000102
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 3.060841e-05 0.000040 0.000051 0.000065 0.000080 0.000098 0.000119
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 2.359608e-05 0.000034 0.000047 0.000063 0.000083 0.000105 0.000134
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.919759e-05 0.000030 0.000044 0.000063 0.000086 0.000114 0.000150
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 1.542029e-05 0.000026 0.000041 0.000061 0.000088 0.000121 0.000163
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 1.253721e-05 0.000023 0.000039 0.000060 0.000090 0.000127 0.000175
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 1.011981e-05 0.000021 0.000036 0.000059 0.000091 0.000132 0.000186
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 7.917483e-06 0.000018 0.000033 0.000057 0.000090 0.000134 0.000194
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 6.012026e-06 0.000015 0.000030 0.000054 0.000089 0.000136 0.000200
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 4.697625e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000052 0.000089 0.000138 0.000208
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 4.268756e-06 0.000013 0.000028 0.000054 0.000094 0.000149 0.000226
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 3.561867e-06 0.000012 0.000027 0.000054 0.000096 0.000155 0.000239
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.771997e-06 0.000010 0.000026 0.000055 0.000100 0.000164 0.000256
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.892826e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000052 0.000099 0.000167 0.000267
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 1.287429e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000051 0.000100 0.000172 0.000280
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 9.281236e-07 0.000006 0.000021 0.000051 0.000102 0.000179 0.000296
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 6.116771e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000050 0.000103 0.000185 0.000310
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 3.929623e-07 0.000005 0.000018 0.000049 0.000104 0.000190 0.000323
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.321994e-07 0.000004 0.000017 0.000048 0.000105 0.000195 0.000336
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.135348e-07 0.000003 0.000015 0.000046 0.000104 0.000197 0.000345
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 4.216419e-08 0.000002 0.000014 0.000043 0.000102 0.000197 0.000351
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.356443e-08 0.000002 0.000012 0.000042 0.000101 0.000200 0.000360
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 8.410356e-09 0.000002 0.000013 0.000044 0.000107 0.000213 0.000385